Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.566611 16.605696 18.786486 21.287645 24.072055 27.071627 30.542437
2024-10-27 11.151176 13.805359 16.844502 20.564061 24.974528 30.017436 36.198745
2024-11-03 9.514505 12.685973 16.544569 21.542406 27.797529 35.317072 44.984373
2024-11-10 8.653580 12.339970 17.075774 23.524162 31.981997 42.594277 56.797451
2024-11-17 7.630761 11.608903 16.991633 24.673178 35.195175 48.923884 67.977075
2024-11-24 6.452753 10.468948 16.187853 24.729414 36.925280 53.436840 77.142660
2024-12-01 5.327737 9.216343 15.039921 24.132133 37.642297 56.586005 84.664229
2024-12-08 4.546201 8.354454 14.332509 24.054831 39.034634 60.711944 93.766915
2024-12-15 3.997143 7.772699 13.963608 24.415408 41.056148 65.826901 104.563344
2024-12-22 3.437517 7.078253 13.315111 24.241866 42.207601 69.694873 113.737031
2024-12-29 3.198110 6.913920 13.518742 25.453447 45.605093 77.138016 128.671648
2025-01-05 2.849159 6.486376 13.207769 25.750873 47.519471 82.377011 140.503382
2025-01-12 2.386979 5.771956 12.314653 24.982351 47.661164 84.928160 148.483965
2025-01-19 1.976406 5.086328 11.380000 24.027592 47.385112 86.764600 155.424223
2025-01-26 1.836847 4.961898 11.514174 25.060542 50.672354 94.691048 172.714276
2025-02-02 1.820866 5.115740 12.223732 27.255574 56.209553 106.731907 197.446858
2025-02-09 1.715693 5.040638 12.448256 28.516703 60.115467 116.185980 218.307502
2025-02-16 1.520725 4.708486 12.081726 28.551125 61.715968 121.700117 232.726349
2025-02-23 1.298886 4.261063 11.398795 27.855277 61.847907 124.592479 242.729777
2025-03-02 1.146495 3.966652 11.020406 27.754797 63.117347 129.581454 256.627683
2025-03-09 1.042677 3.786194 10.882775 28.154040 65.395076 136.514116 274.272827
2025-03-16 0.918453 3.518174 10.494944 27.951807 66.420862 141.150683 287.966452
2025-03-23 0.884306 3.520400 10.783473 29.317644 70.792000 152.331169 314.116720